Baiano 1 . Last 16

Vitória vs Bahía analysis

Vitória Bahía
66 ELO 79
1.7% Tilt -2.4%
412º General ELO ranking 143º
30º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
30.7%
Vitória
27.1%
Draw
42.3%
Bahía

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
Vitória
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.3%
Win probability
Bahía
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+31%
+17%
Bahía

ELO progression

Vitória
Bahía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2020
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
CRB
CRB
46%
25%
29%
65 65 0 0
16 Feb. 2020
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Frei Paulistano
AFP
85%
11%
4%
66 37 29 -1
15 Feb. 2020
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
81%
13%
5%
66 43 23 0
12 Feb. 2020
IMP
Imperatriz
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
15%
21%
64%
66 53 13 0
08 Feb. 2020
BAH
Bahía
0 - 2
Vitória
VIT
65%
21%
14%
65 78 13 +1

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2020
NAC
Nacional
1 - 3
Bahía
BAH
37%
27%
36%
78 70 8 0
19 Feb. 2020
CSA
CSA
0 - 2
Bahía
BAH
21%
26%
54%
78 62 16 0
15 Feb. 2020
CEA
Ceará
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
40%
28%
32%
78 73 5 0
13 Feb. 2020
BAH
Bahía
3 - 0
Nacional
NAC
57%
24%
19%
78 71 7 0
09 Feb. 2020
JEC
Jacobina
1 - 3
Bahía
BAH
4%
11%
85%
78 36 42 0
X