Série B Brazil Round 15

Vitória vs Avaí analysis

Vitória Avaí
66 ELO 67
8.9% Tilt -6.5%
188º General ELO ranking 391º
27º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Vitória
24.9%
Draw
23.1%
Avaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
Vitória
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.1%
Win probability
Avaí
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
-13%
+7%
Avaí

ELO progression

Vitória
Avaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2020
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
39%
29%
32%
67 76 9 0
03 Oct. 2020
OPE
Operário PR
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
40%
27%
33%
67 64 3 0
30 Sep. 2020
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
CSA
CSA
62%
23%
16%
68 63 5 -1
26 Sep. 2020
VIT
Vitória
3 - 1
Oeste
OES
67%
20%
13%
67 59 8 +1
15 Sep. 2020
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
34%
28%
37%
67 63 4 0

Matches

Avaí
Avaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2020
AVA
Avaí
2 - 1
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
55%
26%
19%
66 61 5 0
03 Oct. 2020
CRB
CRB
3 - 1
Avaí
AVA
50%
26%
23%
66 69 3 0
30 Sep. 2020
AVA
Avaí
1 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
49%
28%
23%
66 65 1 0
26 Sep. 2020
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Avaí
AVA
69%
21%
10%
65 80 15 +1
20 Sep. 2020
AVA
Avaí
2 - 5
Sampaio Correa
SAM
61%
24%
15%
66 58 8 -1