Vitória vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 3
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 2
ATL
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATP
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 1
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |