Vitória Setúbal vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
9º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 2
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UDL
4 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 0
VST
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VST
1 - 2
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 3
USA
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AMO
0 - 1
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |