Vitoria de Sernache vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 0
VIT
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
MAF
13%
22%
65%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAL
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |