Vitória Guimarães vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 2
ALV
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 0
SAO
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BMA
2 - 2
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
PAÇ
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |