Vitória ES vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
REA
23%
24%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EST
3 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 1
SOB
45%
23%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 0
DOM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
5 - 3
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOB
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 0
CEI
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |