Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 1
FEY
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |