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J1 League. Matchday 17

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu
47 ELO 42
-20% Tilt 2%
1305º General ELO ranking 1938º
11º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Vissel Kobe
29%
Draw
28.5%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Vissel Kobe
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.5%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vissel Kobe
+10%
+13%
Sagan Tosu

Basic stats

54
46
POS
9
12
SOT
2
2
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
13
10
FRK
47
42
ELO
1.2
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Vissel Kobe
Their league position
Sagan Tosu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
45
81
73%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
79
34%
Nagoya Grampus
34
58
10%
Sagan Tosu
33
61
8%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
56
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
61
6%
Urawa Reds
28
59
6%
Kashima Antlers
24
63
9%
Cerezo Osaka
23
53
11º
6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10º
23
51
12º
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
59
6%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
54
10º
6%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
42
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
17
39
14º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
37
16º
8%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
14
38
15º
8%
Gamba Osaka
17º
13
29
19º
9%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
13
37
17º
8%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
32
18º
9%
Yokohama
20º
7
28
20º
20%
Expected probabilities
Vissel Kobe
Sagan Tosu
Champion
5% 7%
AFC Champions League
16% 20%
Mid-table
68% 66%
Relegation
10% 7%

ELO progression

Vissel Kobe
VIS
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Urawa Reds
URA
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Azul Claro Numazu
AZU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Vissel Kobe
VIS
46%
27%
28%
839 748 -91 +6
22 May. 2021
URA
Urawa Reds
2 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
49%
26%
25%
847 906 59 -9
19 May. 2021
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
0 - 3
Vissel Kobe
VIS
46%
27%
27%
836 788 -48 +12
15 May. 2021
VIS
Vissel Kobe
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
37%
28%
35%
834 1196 -362 +1
09 May. 2021
FCY
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
52%
25%
22%
841 1045 204 -8

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 0
Sagan Tosu
SAG
53%
25%
22%
657 810 153 +1
22 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers
KAA
35%
27%
38%
649 1144 -495 +8
19 May. 2021
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
4 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
46%
27%
28%
660 598 -62 -11
15 May. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
47%
27%
26%
659 663 4 0
08 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
44%
27%
29%
658 794 -136 0