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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 16

Virtus Bolzano vs Clodiense analysis

Virtus Bolzano Clodiense
33 ELO 13
56% Tilt 58%
4360º General ELO ranking 8723º
119º Country ELO ranking 310º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Virtus Bolzano
18.6%
Draw
22%
Clodiense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
Virtus Bolzano
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
22%
Win probability
Clodiense
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virtus Bolzano
+23%
+18%
Clodiense

Points and table prediction

Virtus Bolzano
Their league position
Clodiense
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
19º
18º
62
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
81
81
100%
Arzignano Valchiampo
67
67
100%
Manzanese
66
66
100%
Clodiense
62
62
100%
Caldiero Terme
61
61
100%
Mestre
60
60
100%
Delta Porto Tolle
58
58
100%
Luparense
54
54
100%
Belluno
53
53
100%
Cjarlins Muzane
10º
52
52
10º
50%
Cartigliano
11º
52
52
11º
50%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
12º
49
49
13º
50%
Adriese
13º
49
49
12º
50%
Ambrosiana
14º
47
47
14º
100%
AC Este
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Campodarsego
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Union Feltre
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Virtus Bolzano
18º
38
38
18º
50%
Montebelluna
19º
38
38
19º
50%
Chions
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Virtus Bolzano
Clodiense
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
50% 0%
Relegation
50% 0%

ELO progression

Clodiense
CLO
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
Montebelluna
MON
Adriese
SDA
Luparense
SAN
Union Feltre
UNI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Bolzano
Virtus Bolzano
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2020
CJA
Cjarlins Muzane
1 - 1
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
40%
28%
32%
437 222 -215 0
10 Feb. 2021
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
0 - 2
Delta Porto Tolle
DEL
47%
27%
26%
437 384 53 0
27 Jan. 2021
CAM
Campodarsego
0 - 1
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
44%
27%
29%
437 339 -98 0
04 Nov. 2020
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
1 - 1
Chions
CHI
51%
26%
23%
435 264 171 0
18 Oct. 2020
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
3 - 0
Caldiero Terme
CAL
47%
27%
26%
431 283 148 +2

Matches

Clodiense
Clodiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO CLO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2020
MES
Mestre
1 - 3
Clodiense
CLO
53%
25%
22%
186 445 259 0
23 Dec. 2020
CLO
Clodiense
2 - 1
Union San Giorgio Sedico
SGS
44%
27%
29%
186 289 -103 0
13 Dec. 2020
UNI
Union Feltre
1 - 2
Clodiense
CLO
47%
27%
26%
186 275 89 0
04 Nov. 2020
CLO
Clodiense
2 - 1
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
41%
28%
31%
184 297 -113 +2
01 Nov. 2020
BEL
Belluno
1 - 1
Clodiense
CLO
47%
27%
26%
184 257 73 0