Viltis Vilnius vs Garliava analysis


23	ELO	46
6.4%	Tilt	-0.6%
10149º	General ELO ranking	4229º
35º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

11.5%

Viltis Vilnius

16.2%

Draw

72.3%

Garliava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

11.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%

16.2%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

7.4%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

16.2%

72.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-1%

-30%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viltis Vilnius

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Jul. 2020	VIL 0 - 4 VIV 8% 13% 80%	23	53	30	0
28 Jun. 2020	VIL 11 - 0 SJO 81% 12% 7%	23	6	17	0
26 May. 2019	VIL 2 - 3 VIV 9% 15% 77%	24	50	26	-1
01 May. 2019	VAL 0 - 2 VIL 72% 16% 12%	22	40	18	+2
01 Sep. 2018	VIL 0 - 3 STU 6% 11% 84%	22	66	44	0