Villafranca vs Cerea analysis


20	ELO	29
-0.6%	Tilt	1.7%
24344º	General ELO ranking	19702º
663º	Country ELO ranking	549º
ELO win probability

30.1%

Villafranca

24%

Draw

45.9%

Cerea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

30.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%

24%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24%

45.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villafranca

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2011	ACE 6 - 0 VIL 71% 18% 12%	21	33	12	0
04 Sep. 2011	VIL 0 - 2 SCA 31% 25% 44%	23	32	9	-2
08 May. 2011	OLG 3 - 0 VIL 67% 19% 14%	23	32	9	0
01 May. 2011	VIL 1 - 3 CAR 32% 25% 43%	24	33	9	-1
17 Apr. 2011	VIL 1 - 3 FCC 34% 25% 41%	25	32	7	-1