Villa Nova vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DEM
4 - 3
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
TFC
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 0
AME
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 1
MAM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |