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Belarus Third Division. Minsk Region, Matchday 12

Viliya vs Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk analysis

Viliya Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk
13 ELO 16
130% Tilt 58%
10100º General ELO ranking 8708º
111º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
69%
Viliya
14.6%
Draw
16.4%
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
Viliya
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.7%
5-3
1.7%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
16.4%
Win probability
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%