Vilafranquense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |