Vilada vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
VIL
48%
20%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAL
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GIR
4 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OLV
1 - 0
VIL
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
38%
21%
41%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
8 - 1
NVC
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SLM
1 - 3
PAL
17%
19%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 1
SFS
91%
6%
3%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 9
PAL
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 2
GAF
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |