Viktoria Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
HAM
1 - 0
VIK
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VIK
2 - 0
WUP
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
PRE
0 - 0
VIK
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VIK
2 - 1
WHE
65%
18%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
AAA
2 - 1
VIK
80%
13%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ARB
6 - 0
HAG
69%
18%
14%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
BSC
1 - 1
ARB
29%
22%
49%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ARB
0 - 1
SWE
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
RTV
0 - 0
ARB
49%
23%
29%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
ARB
3 - 1
ROT
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |