Oberliga Hessen Round 8

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Marburg analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Marburg
43 ELO 21
-7% Tilt -1.8%
3921º General ELO ranking 7958º
174º Country ELO ranking 388º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
14.9%
Draw
6.3%
Marburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.3%
Win probability
Marburg
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-11%
+27%
Marburg

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Marburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2009
BAU
KSV Baunatal
1 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
22%
24%
53%
42 25 17 0
15 Aug. 2009
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 0
Hünfelder SV
HUN
73%
17%
10%
42 24 18 0
08 Aug. 2009
WOR
Wörsdorf
0 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
16%
23%
61%
41 24 17 +1
05 Aug. 2009
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3 - 1
Rot-Weiß Frankfurt
FRA
77%
16%
7%
41 22 19 0
02 Aug. 2009
FSV
FSV Frankfurt II
0 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
34%
25%
41%
40 33 7 +1

Matches

Marburg
Marburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2009
MAR
Marburg
4 - 3
Klein-Karben
KKA
32%
24%
45%
20 25 5 0
14 Aug. 2009
WAL
Waldgirmes
2 - 0
Marburg
MAR
75%
16%
9%
21 33 12 -1
08 Aug. 2009
MAR
Marburg
1 - 2
Germania Ober-Roden
GOR
53%
23%
24%
21 21 0 0
05 Aug. 2009
EIN
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1 - 1
Marburg
MAR
63%
20%
17%
21 27 6 0
01 Aug. 2009
MAR
Marburg
7 - 4
Vellmar
VEL
48%
25%
27%
20 21 1 +1