First Vienna vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
7º
61
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 24 |
15º
|
90.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 18 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 2
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SWB
2 - 0
VIE
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
VOI
1 - 2
VIE
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 1
FAV
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LAS
4 - 2
VIE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
GRA
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 0
AMS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TBG
2 - 4
GRA
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 4
POL
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
VOI
3 - 3
GRA
7%
13%
81%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |