Vicenza vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAD
0 - 0
VIC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
VIC
3 - 1
PAV
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |