Vicenza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIC
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
CRO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 4
VIC
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
PES
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIC
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAG
20%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |