Oberliga North Round 1

VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel analysis

VfL Osnabrück Holstein Kiel
51 ELO 46
-1.9% Tilt -4.6%
1165º General ELO ranking 198º
57º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
80.3%
VfL Osnabrück
12.1%
Draw
7.6%
Holstein Kiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
VfL Osnabrück
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.6%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Osnabrück
+17%
+8%
Holstein Kiel

ELO progression

VfL Osnabrück
Holstein Kiel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 1961
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
86%
10%
5%
51 73 22 0
23 Apr. 1961
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 0
Altona 93
ALT
80%
12%
8%
50 43 7 +1
16 Apr. 1961
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
7 - 3
Heider SV
HEI
85%
10%
6%
50 34 16 0
09 Apr. 1961
BER
Bergedorf 85
2 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
45%
23%
32%
51 39 12 -1
03 Apr. 1961
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
5 - 0
TuS Bremerhaven 93
TBR
82%
11%
7%
50 37 13 +1

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 1961
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
83%
11%
6%
46 51 5 0
23 Apr. 1961
HOL
Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
VfB Lübeck
LUB
75%
14%
11%
45 41 4 +1
03 Apr. 1961
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Bergedorf 85
BER
78%
13%
9%
45 39 6 0
26 Mar. 1961
HEI
Heider SV
0 - 3
Holstein Kiel
HOL
55%
21%
25%
44 36 8 +1
19 Mar. 1961
STP
FC St Pauli
4 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
79%
13%
8%
45 56 11 -1