Verlaine vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
GIV
0 - 1
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
VER
0 - 3
JET
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
RES
0 - 0
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VER
4 - 2
BED
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VER
1 - 2
RFC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
RES
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
5 - 0
EXC
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
LOU
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
COU
5 - 0
EXC
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
BAM
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -3 |