Vauxhall Motors vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
DRO
1 - 3
VAU
72%
16%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
WOR
4 - 1
VAU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
2 - 1
RFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
1 - 3
STA
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
0 - 1
HAR
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 3
GAI
72%
17%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BOS
2 - 1
GAI
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 0
GAI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HYD
1 - 1
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GAI
3 - 0
RED
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |