Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara. Jor. 2

Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguaçu analysis

Vasco da Gama Nova Iguaçu
78 ELO 52
-7.9% Tilt -5.3%
204º General ELO ranking 2695º
23º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
78.2%
Vasco da Gama
15.9%
Draw
5.9%
Nova Iguaçu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.9%
5.9%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
+12%
+58%
Nova Iguaçu

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Nova Iguaçu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Bangu
BAN
84%
13%
3%
78 42 36 0
03 Dec. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
44%
27%
29%
78 77 1 0
26 Nov. 2017
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
66%
21%
14%
77 85 8 +1
19 Nov. 2017
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
3 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
46%
27%
28%
78 78 0 -1
16 Nov. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
30%
26%
44%
78 83 5 0

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2018
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
41%
25%
34%
52 51 1 0
09 Apr. 2017
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
3 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
49%
25%
26%
51 47 4 +1
06 Apr. 2017
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
49%
25%
26%
51 47 4 0
02 Apr. 2017
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
13%
20%
67%
52 75 23 -1
29 Mar. 2017
RES
Resende
0 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
42%
26%
33%
51 50 1 +1
X