Vasco da Gama vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 1
TOM
60%
26%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PPE
3 - 1
VAS
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
CHA
58%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOM
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 0
GUA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |