Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 3
FFL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 3
VAS
53%
22%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 3
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 6
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 3
FLA
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLA
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 3
COR
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |