Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
VAS
23%
28%
50%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAS
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 1
BAH
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |