Carioca 1 Guanabara Cup Round 6

Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis

Vasco da Gama Botafogo
73 ELO 78
-0.6% Tilt -4.5%
150º General ELO ranking 166º
19º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
44.4%
Vasco da Gama
26.6%
Draw
29.1%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.1%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-16%
+14%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
76%
16%
8%
74 58 16 0
06 Feb. 2022
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
9%
19%
72%
73 49 24 +1
03 Feb. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
80%
14%
6%
73 53 20 0
30 Jan. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
80%
14%
6%
73 52 21 0
26 Jan. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
32%
25%
43%
73 64 9 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2022
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
65%
22%
14%
78 85 7 0
08 Feb. 2022
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
84%
12%
5%
78 53 25 0
03 Feb. 2022
BOT
Botafogo
4 - 2
Madureira RJ
MAD
85%
11%
4%
78 50 28 0
30 Jan. 2022
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 0
Bangu
BAN
85%
11%
4%
78 50 28 0
26 Jan. 2022
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
13%
24%
63%
78 52 26 0