Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOT
30%
31%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |