Vasco da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 0
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ATP
3 - 0
VAS
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATL
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 0
COT
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 0
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |