Vasco da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
VAS
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 2
VAS
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
7 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 3
COR
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
COT
1 - 0
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 2
FLU
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 2
PAY
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
GOI
3 - 1
ATM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAO
28%
24%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |