Vasco da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 3
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
VAS
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 1
ATM
37%
24%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 1
FFL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |