Valenciennes II vs Marck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
FEI
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
UJA
1 - 1
VAL
42%
26%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
34%
27%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 4
SEN
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ESW
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |