Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
VAL
0 - 3
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
MON
0 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
VAL
4 - 1
NÎM
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 1
ANG
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1979 |
STR
1 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 0
NÎM
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 2
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |