Valencia Mestalla vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
PON
0 - 0
VAL
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
40%
31%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 2
ELC
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
CFC
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
ZAR
2 - 0
XER
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MAL
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
PON
1 - 0
ZAR
31%
31%
38%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |