Valencia Mestalla vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 2
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
GIR
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
PAL
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
YEC
0 - 2
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 1
GIR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
YEC
1 - 2
NOV
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
RCD
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 2
GIM
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |