V-Varen Nagasaki vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 2
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VVA
1 - 0
MAT
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 0
OSV
87%
10%
4%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 0
JEF
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 0
VEN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
JUB
3 - 0
HTS
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 2
JUB
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 0
ZWE
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |