UTA Arad vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
UCL
3 - 0
UTA
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
UTA
0 - 2
APT
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
SIR
2 - 2
UTA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
UTA
2 - 2
CHI
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MET
3 - 0
UTA
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
AER
1 - 0
PTI
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RIT
1 - 0
AER
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
AER
9 - 0
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 1
AER
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AER
2 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |