USV Hercules vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USV
2 - 2
HOO
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
USV
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
USV
2 - 0
JOS
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
EVV
0 - 5
USV
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
USV
2 - 0
GEM
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BLA
4 - 0
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
GEM
53%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
USV
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WES
2 - 3
DON
43%
23%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
OOS
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |