USM Bel Abbès vs Ain Ouessara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TIA
4 - 0
USM
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
USM
1 - 1
MCS
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SAD
1 - 5
USM
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
USM
2 - 2
KOU
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EBA
3 - 2
USM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ain Ouessara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AIN
2 - 1
GCM
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
USM
1 - 3
AIN
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AIN
2 - 1
SKA
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
AIN
74%
18%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AIN
0 - 1
ETO
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |