Cremonese vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SSB
1 - 0
USC
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
USC
1 - 1
PER
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USC
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
FRO
0 - 1
USC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAT
2 - 2
PIA
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 0
LAT
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LAT
2 - 1
FCS
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAT
4 - 1
POR
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAT
65%
23%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |