FC Alessandria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
PAL
0 - 0
USA
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
USA
0 - 1
VNZ
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
USA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
POT
2 - 0
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
MES
1 - 1
POT
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 1
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
MES
1 - 1
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |