Urk vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
URK
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
URK
1 - 2
VVO
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DRA
1 - 2
URK
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
URK
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
URK
1 - 1
HZV
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
5 - 1
APE
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
AZS
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
HAR
34%
22%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
DRA
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SVZ
4 - 1
HAR
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |