Ureña vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
1º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
URE
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
HFF
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
URE
0 - 0
YAR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FLD
0 - 2
URE
23%
24%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
URE
3 - 1
TRU
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
URE
19%
25%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLD
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
FRO
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 1
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |