Universitario Deportes vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1968 |
UNI
1 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UNI
6 - 0
REA
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
UNI
5 - 1
JWI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1968 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
IND
3 - 0
AND
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
IND
3 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1968 |
EST
2 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |