Leones Negros vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
UDG
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
IRA
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
UAT
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 3
LOB
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VER
0 - 2
LOB
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 5
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
VER
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |