Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 2-3
Univ de Chile vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCH
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
UCH
5 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
UCH
1 - 2
DLS
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
UCH
0 - 2
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
UCH
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
OPE
34%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAP
0 - 0
OPE
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
OPE
3 - 1
RPO
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
OPE
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -3 |