U. Católica vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COQ
1 - 1
UCO
20%
25%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 0
COQ
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 0
CSL
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
UCH
3 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 1
HUA
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |