Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
RWD
0 - 2
UNI
9%
19%
71%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DEI
2 - 4
UNI
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
GNK
4 - 4
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
KVC
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LOM
0 - 1
UNI
19%
24%
58%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
EUP
1 - 1
MOU
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 1
AND
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
STR
0 - 2
MOU
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 1
WAA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 0
GNK
11%
18%
72%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |